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Have prices peaked? Where are they going?

Discuss vintage Kenner and Palitoy Star Wars toys from the 1977-1985 era.
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Taffius
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Re: Have prices peaked? Where are they going?

Postby Taffius » Wed Feb 14, 2018 9:56 am

I also doubt that any bubble will burst whilst the movies roll out because like me, a rekindled calling is appealing.
TV spin offs and other merchandise will carry the momentum too I think.

So what will be the factors for drops in price?

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Re: Have prices peaked? Where are they going?

Postby chrisfnx » Wed Feb 14, 2018 12:17 pm

Speaking to fellow collectors, I think perhaps that prices could stabilise or maybe decrease as people who grew up with the toys etc start to die off. Hopefully younger generations will still want to collect vintage items, even if they don’t have a nostalgia towards them. My nephews like them, whether or not they would collect them as adults, I don’t know. I’m sure they will always have a value, as more and more films keep getting released.

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stu70
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Re: Have prices peaked? Where are they going?

Postby stu70 » Wed Feb 14, 2018 12:24 pm

chrisfnx wrote:Speaking to fellow collectors, I think perhaps that prices could stabilise or maybe decrease as people who grew up with the toys etc start to die off


I grew up with the toys, and at 47 I hope I've got a few years left yet!

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Robstyley
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Re: Have prices peaked? Where are they going?

Postby Robstyley » Wed Feb 14, 2018 2:04 pm

I don't know whether they've peaked but there are certainly some insane people around. I've just seen a black Endor blaster on a Facebook auction at £81 and rising! :shock: A tiny plastic gun! Several years ago these accessories were being passed around for a few pounds each. As long as the demand continues to outweigh the supply some people will continue to spend daft money on things. I would never spend that sort of money on an accessory and if it means my figure is incomplete then so be it.

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Re: Have prices peaked? Where are they going?

Postby Wreck-It Ralph » Wed Feb 14, 2018 5:09 pm

jared007 wrote:As an intermission to this discussion and to give some hope for prices to come down, here's a slide I put together for my celebration panel in 2016 that shows the rise and fall of boxed 12 inch figures over a 15 year period (based on guide prices from various guides through the years). The moral - what goes up must come down ... eventually. But no one knows the *eventually* until it happens.

Slide29.JPG

Here's the same idea done with loose complete first 12 figures for the same period.

Slide28.JPG

Here was the state of things at mid 2016 for loose complete first 12 figures based on previous 3 years of Star Wars Tracker data. Clearly still rising. I need to update this graph to see how it has continued since then ...

Slide11.JPG


What are your thoughts on MOC do you think that will drop also?
Because he's holding a thermal detonator!!

We all have our time machines. Some take us back, they're called memories. Some take us forward, they're called dreams.

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Re: Have prices peaked? Where are they going?

Postby jared007 » Wed Feb 14, 2018 5:55 pm

Wreck-It Ralph wrote:What are your thoughts on MOC do you think that will drop also?


I've actually been back in amongst it buying MOC again after a 2 year break or so. I see quite good deals out there if you have the patience to hunt for them. So yes, I think in some cases prices have already been dropping.
Digital vintage price guide and portfolio system: http://www.starwarstracker.com

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jared007
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Re: Have prices peaked? Where are they going?

Postby jared007 » Wed Feb 14, 2018 6:00 pm

Taffius wrote:Jared, great data. Are plans to run graphs like this within the Tracker app?

Be great to get a snapshot now to see where loose and carded figures are post TLJ and Solo/next episode?


Well, you can already do this sort of thing in the desktop version. All depends on the kind of question you have, and you can pretty much do your own data mining. I had some specific questions for the Celebration panel, so just made it look a bit more presentable
Digital vintage price guide and portfolio system: http://www.starwarstracker.com

chrisfnx
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Re: Have prices peaked? Where are they going?

Postby chrisfnx » Wed Feb 14, 2018 7:55 pm

stu70 wrote:
chrisfnx wrote:Speaking to fellow collectors, I think perhaps that prices could stabilise or maybe decrease as people who grew up with the toys etc start to die off


I grew up with the toys, and at 47 I hope I've got a few years left yet!


Same here, I did too. What I meant was in the future, 40 years down the line

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Re: Have prices peaked? Where are they going?

Postby Wreck-It Ralph » Wed Feb 14, 2018 9:33 pm

jared007 wrote:
Wreck-It Ralph wrote:What are your thoughts on MOC do you think that will drop also?


I've actually been back in amongst it buying MOC again after a 2 year break or so. I see quite good deals out there if you have the patience to hunt for them. So yes, I think in some cases prices have already been dropping.


What do you think will happen with prices when the collectors like us (people that actually played with these toys as children) have moved on? Comics have continued to rise in price even though the collectors that bought them as Children are no longer around will Star Wars be the same or nosedive?
Because he's holding a thermal detonator!!

We all have our time machines. Some take us back, they're called memories. Some take us forward, they're called dreams.

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Taffius
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Re: Have prices peaked? Where are they going?

Postby Taffius » Wed Feb 14, 2018 9:47 pm

jared007 wrote:
Taffius wrote:Jared, great data. Are plans to run graphs like this within the Tracker app?

Be great to get a snapshot now to see where loose and carded figures are post TLJ and Solo/next episode?


Well, you can already do this sort of thing in the desktop version. All depends on the kind of question you have, and you can pretty much do your own data mining. I had some specific questions for the Celebration panel, so just made it look a bit more presentable


Thanks Jared. I will have a look now - keep forgetting about my version on my surface pro! :oops:


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